Saturday, February 20, 2010

Share Price

Knowing to calculate and understanding the usage of P/E ratio is not enough to decide to buy or not to buy a shares. Lets look at the second factor to consider. The share price after taking into consideration the dividend received for the year. Let's look at MBB again.

Published Data @ 20/2/2010 from the star
Dividend 2009 - 8% or RM0.08 (d0)
My required rate of return - 10% (k)
Market Price - RM6.89
let's assume MBB will increase the dividend payout in future year at a fixed rate of 5%, so g - 5%
par value - RM1.00
Based on the above data, what should be the market price of Maybank?.

Based on Gordon growth model, the formula should be:

MP = d1 divide (k-g)
= d0(1+0.05) divide (0.1-0.05)
= 0.08(1.05)/(0.05)
= RM1.68

Well, based on the dividend payout alone, we should NOT buy MBB shares!. Because the current Market Price of RM6.89 is too high when the dividend received is too low.

No comments:

Post a Comment